Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 1253.682194 1428.283929 1623.203723 1857.805142 2133.647089 2449.059947 2838.986658
2025-08-24 985.516311 1211.413676 1487.583391 1853.592827 2331.218340 2940.701152 3789.230713
2025-08-31 846.232722 1091.192535 1408.526073 1856.432575 2483.256917 3345.995740 4653.117857
2025-09-07 755.541451 1012.714066 1362.003003 1881.516769 2652.915211 3786.451335 5637.591530
2025-09-14 663.372974 916.763064 1274.099856 1828.516643 2692.686470 4033.791877 6368.417953
2025-09-21 591.589309 839.377636 1200.395935 1781.689124 2727.740073 4270.128730 7117.810909
2025-09-28 531.242281 771.225192 1130.988271 1729.574521 2742.157857 4468.545085 7833.752534
2025-10-05 505.307847 751.513744 1131.935744 1787.526552 2943.973836 5014.951318 9304.421707
2025-10-12 476.713530 724.309507 1117.309753 1816.303636 3097.172579 5497.257445 10759.661464
2025-10-19 453.706853 703.460351 1110.168280 1855.832349 3273.722651 6051.690431 12500.017473
2025-10-26 433.357655 684.814326 1104.310337 1895.967271 3455.862496 6647.742132 14487.632055
2025-11-02 417.554912 672.157089 1107.040455 1951.428521 3675.215125 7360.282280 16951.391987
2025-11-09 391.763670 641.648912 1078.046670 1948.546517 3786.940177 7887.367386 19187.047903
2025-11-16 366.905630 610.908583 1046.155207 1937.205794 3882.068953 8404.907785 21602.123528
2025-11-23 346.800894 586.724643 1023.612369 1941.113591 4010.184265 9027.535882 24546.942122
2025-11-30 331.402686 569.703754 1012.724102 1967.436349 4193.521608 9830.606863 28372.026567
2025-12-07 307.974994 535.818517 966.063482 1911.581857 4173.269145 10095.662754 30539.745624
2025-12-14 287.477496 505.912707 924.600811 1862.228901 4161.270474 10382.156279 32911.638338
2025-12-21 268.245696 477.037685 882.768021 1807.321126 4127.066133 10599.962502 35135.775463
2025-12-28 262.130229 473.159060 891.341659 1868.380438 4402.863488 11800.515444 41811.019147
2026-01-04 253.453723 463.519133 887.032697 1898.707680 4602.495514 12822.877402 48329.337656
2026-01-11 246.331510 456.436361 887.439010 1940.373314 4841.465281 14041.439112 56492.180821
2026-01-18 239.663047 449.759067 888.077370 1982.686789 5090.750634 15371.402691 66113.760021